Only six weeks left NFL season, the NFC South title is up for grabs for the Buccaneers and Saints, who have combined to win each of the last five division titles. There’s just one problem: neither team can score.
These two offenses are among the worst in the league by many measures, and both face a tough matchup against the other team’s defense in Week 13. Naturally, this provides a lot of potential value for punters in the player props market. Here we make three bets BetMGM before Monday’s contest. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 PM ET on ESPN – and the Manningcast will return on ESPN2.
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Buccaneers vs. Saints player prop predictions and picks
Tom Brady under 273.5 yards (-115)
It’s been a rough season for Brady, who hasn’t looked like the quarterback who finished second in MVP voting a year ago. It will not be easy to fight against a team that was famous in the past.
Brady’s worst game of the year came in Week 2 against the Saints, who held him to easily his worst marks all year in passing yards (190) and completion percentage (52.9 percent). It was one of six times this year that Brady has been under 275 yards — including each of the last two weeks — and the ninth in 11 career games against New Orleans.
Saints coach Dennis Allen has led this Saints defense in each of the last seven games and has held Brady to less than that total in five of those contests. Until the GOAT proves he can crack the code against his division rival, I’ll be shooting under.
Mike Evans Under 60.5 Yards (-115)
If we’re betting low on Brady’s past production, it makes sense that we’re also missing out on his ultimate goal. But that’s not the only reason we love the bottom of Evans’ overall score.
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The Buccaneers’ leading receiver has averaged just 41.7 yards per game over his last three contests this season and 31 last week against the Saints for his lowest total since last year’s 14-yard effort. finished with a yard. He left that game with an injury, but he’s still averaging 32.6 yards per carry in his last eight games with New Orleans dating back to 2019.
He had as many plays of less than 20 yards (3) as he had more than 60 yards (3) in that distance. seven games. Whether he plays or not, Evans has his work cut out for a total that has been low in recent weeks.
Jarvis Landry under 43.5 yards (-110)
I couldn’t believe it when I first saw this prop. Did Oddsmakers see Landry play football this season? Or at any point in the last three seasons?
That might have been a fair number for the five-time Pro Bowler a few years ago, but when these teams met in Week 2, the Saints finished with 25 yards and haven’t gone over 40 yards since the season opener. Since then, he’s managed just 24 yards in six games, never seen more than six targets and played more than half of his team’s snaps over the last two weeks.
Even with Juwan Johnson (ankle) out for Monday’s contest, I don’t see a chance for Landry, especially with Chris Olave emerging as the No. 1 option. Landry has completed 44 yards six times in 17 games (35.3 percent) over the past two seasons and just once this year, and I don’t expect a dramatic resurgence against a solid Buccaneers defense.