The coronavirus infection rate among young people has reached the highest for any age group since the pandemic began as the government drew up a contingency plan to roll back restrictions within weeks.
In the seven days before Covid restrictions were lifted, 1,154.7 infections per 100,000 people were recorded in people aged 20 to 29, according to Public Health England, with cases rising in every age group and region of the country. Weekly hospitalizations are also at their highest level since early March.
Officials from the COVID-19 taskforce are preparing proposals that could see baseline measures, such as wearing masks, social distancing and guidance on work from home, resume in England by next month.
The task force is exploring the possibility of implementing sanctions on a local, regional or national basis.
Labor said the rise of a plan to restart the measures, after “just a few days”, points to the government’s “disappointing ability”, adding that “they should ignore our calls to maintain security”. should have heard”.
Sources said the decision to reintroduce the measures would be based partly on the level of pressure on NHS trusts and hospitals as a result of rising admissions.
As demand picks up, there have been reports of patients waiting in ambulances overnight for hospital beds this week, while the care watchdog warned Wednesday of an “extraordinary” level of demand.
A Whitehall source said the baseline measures would only be offered as a “last resort”, while a Downing Street insider insisted there was no intention to return to strict lockdowns or circuit-breakers.
All kinds of modeling done by the government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) point to a significant increase in hospitalizations since late summer, Independent It has been told. In a worst-case scenario, it could lead to 2,000 hospitalizations a day by mid-August.
A scientific adviser said the plan to reimpose restrictions was specific to No. 10’s handling of the pandemic.
“It fits the previous pattern perfectly in previous waves – first ignore the problems and deny the need for action, then realize there is a problem and tell people it is up to them to act, then, late Enforce more restrictions than necessary if anyone acted early,” the advisory said.
Meanwhile, Home Office Minister Victoria Atkins said on Wednesday that the government “reserves the right” to re-impose coronavirus restrictions in England, emphasizing that Covid-19 “proceeds in an unpredictable way”.
This comes despite the PM’s promises, made earlier in the year, that the lifting of the measures would be “irreversible”. He later acknowledged that some restrictions may have to be rolled back as England’s pandemic worsens.
as stated earlier By IndependentContingency plans being prepared by the COVID-19 taskforce could also be implemented in winter, when infections are expected to rise once again along with an increase in other respiratory illnesses, such as the flu.
Earlier this month, England’s chief medical officer, Professor Chris Whitty, told cabinet ministers that Britain was prepared to face a tough winter.
Despite the success of the UK’s vaccine rollout, Covid hospitalizations in four countries are already returning to alarming levels, as the virus seeks out unvaccinated and partially protected individuals.
Admittances are usually younger, while significant improvements in treatment have also helped reduce the time spent by COVID patients in the hospital.
Nonetheless, the demand for care has put heavy pressure on hospital services across the country, with health officials warning of a growing summer crisis exacerbated by rising infections, pressure from an ongoing heatwave and thousands of workers returning to offices.
More than half the staff of an NHS trust is absent due to COVID-19 isolation rules, which have led to the cancellation of operations, Independent reported this week.
Meanwhile, the number of Kovid patients in England continues to increase. The Chief Scientific Adviser, Sir Patrick Vallance, told a Downing Street press conference on Monday that he expected the NHS to hospitalize 1,000 patients a day soon.
PHE data shows the weekly hospitalization rate is 5.88 people per 100,000 population – the highest figure since the week ending March 7.
More infections, admissions and deaths are now being recorded across the UK than in the same period last year.
On 18 July 2021 – the latest date included on the government’s COVID dashboard – 788 people were hospitalized with COVID; A year ago 105 patients were admitted. On 22 July, 84 COVID deaths were reported; A year ago this figure was 17.
Professor Gabriel Scali, an expert on public health at the University of Bristol, said the government’s latest contingency plans indicate “there is no real strategy to tackle the virus”.
“We need to grow up to deal with this virus,” he said. “The government is a one trick pony. They simply plan to end the restrictions and then declare emergency action to reimpose the restrictions.
Professor Paul Hunter, an expert in health protection and infectious diseases at the University of East Anglia, said it was difficult to know at this stage whether measures would need to be rolled back, adding that the government had made the right decision in lifting the restrictions. Monday.
“It depends on how fast the hospitalizations are increasing,” he said. “If you know what the cases are doing now, you can estimate how many people are going to be in hospitals in two weeks time.
“But predicting what is going to happen with the cases in a month’s time, we do not know. And modeling is everywhere.
“We’ll know in about three weeks if we haven’t screwed up. But I think we didn’t. We may also see a decrease in cases. But that’s wishful thinking.”
Shadow Health Secretary, Labor’s Jonathan Ashworth called on the PM to “catch up”. “Ministers mix messages, change perspectives and scuttle proposals, now we are facing the heat of anarchy,” he said. “The government opened casually at the expense of public health.”