The Red-Hot Blues cannot keep up with this pace


Each NHL team has played about 15 games, which means we can start putting some stock in their underlying metrics. After all, some teams are definitely lucky, others are unlucky, and modern hockey statistics play a big part in determining which teams are which. Here are three teams that have helped or fallen victim to Lady Luck.

The St. Louis Blues

Like last season, the Blues have been dealing with injuries, so it’s tough to get a grip on the team’s performance so far, but it’s clear it has exceeded expectations. It helps that Blizzard got off to such a rough start, but in general, I think winning the central division is an even higher bar for the Blues.

The Blues have everything right for the Blues, as they have scored 57 percent goals (45 against, 34 against) in their first 13 games. But the Blues don’t dominate the game, which implies they don’t deserve to win games at this rate. The betting market seems to underestimate the Blues’ chances of winning a regular game, and that would probably lead me to bet against them rather than bet on them.

Blues’ Vladimir Tarasenko (91) has been congratulated by center Robert Thomas (18) and center Evan Barbashev (49).
USA Today Sports

The Boston Bruins

According to the hockey statistics website Natural Stat Trick, the Bruins rank as the top-10 team in shots and scoring chances, but they rank in the bottom 10 in goals. The Bruins should be scoring more goals than their opponents, but they aren’t, and it’s hard to point the finger in one direction. Goaltending isn’t great, but neither is scoring.

I would classify this team as unfortunate, but regardless of how well it plays, there are concerns that the Bruins are always struggling to score goals. And on the flip side, there is a lot of uncertainty around both goaltenders and how they perform throughout the rest of the regular season. The Bruins are likely to win more games than they lose, but if they perform poorly on both ends of the ice it will be difficult to catch the Panthers.

Seattle Kraken

The biggest concern around Kraken is whether they will be able to score enough goals to win hockey games as the season progresses. However, the offense has lived up to expectations, scoring goals at an average rate, while also dealing with injuries to key players. Kraken is now sitting in last place in the Pacific category because he could not afford to save. Only the Arizona Coyotes have allowed more goals on a 60-minute basis.

The weird part of all this is that Kraken seems to be a good team in defense. According to Natural Stat Trick, Seattle ranks second in shots and scoring chances, while Phillip Grubauer and Chris Dredger combined for the worst save percentage of 87.2 percent in the league. Kraken is still highly valued by those betting regularly, but it looks like the market is starting to catch on.

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